MSEAS Probabilistic Analysis and Forecasts for 02 Mar 0000Z to 06 Mar 0000Z 2022, Issued 02 Mar 2022
MSEAS 2700m Probabilistic Ocean Forecasts (tidally-forced forecasts downscaled from WMOP)
Physics-balanced stochastic models and ESSE dominant subspace decompositions are used to represent uncertainties in the initial and boundary conditions for T, S, u, v, w and eta fields, in the atmospheric surface forcing flux fields, and in the tidal forcing parameters.
Click on any depth label for a full set of plots.
Snapshot Time-Series of the ESSE Ensemble Standard Deviations (every 6 hours) |
Full Modeling Domain (2700m resolution) |
0m |
Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
![](STDEV/0000m/ccnt_SigmaT0000mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0000m/ccnt_V0000mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0000m/ccnt_T0000mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0000m/ccnt_S0000mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
|
50m |
Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
![](STDEV/0050m/ccnt_SigmaT0050mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0050m/ccnt_V0050mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0050m/ccnt_T0050mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0050m/ccnt_S0050mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
|
100m |
Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
![](STDEV/0100m/ccnt_SigmaT0100mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0100m/ccnt_V0100mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0100m/ccnt_T0100mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0100m/ccnt_S0100mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
|
250m |
Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
![](STDEV/0250m/ccnt_SigmaT0250mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0250m/ccnt_V0250mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0250m/ccnt_T0250mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0250m/ccnt_S0250mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
|
500m |
Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
![](STDEV/0500m/ccnt_SigmaT0500mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0500m/ccnt_V0500mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0500m/ccnt_T0500mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
![](STDEV/0500m/ccnt_S0500mFull_EnsStdFct_001_small.gif) |
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Snapshot Time-Series of the ESSE Ensemble Means (every 6 hours) |
Full Modeling Domain (2700m resolution) |
0m |
Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
![](MEAN/0000m/ccnt_SigmaT0000mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0000m/ccnt_V0000mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0000m/ccnt_T0000mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0000m/ccnt_S0000mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
|
50m |
Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
![](MEAN/0050m/ccnt_SigmaT0050mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0050m/ccnt_V0050mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0050m/ccnt_T0050mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0050m/ccnt_S0050mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
|
100m |
Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
![](MEAN/0100m/ccnt_SigmaT0100mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0100m/ccnt_V0100mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0100m/ccnt_T0100mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0100m/ccnt_S0100mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
|
250m |
Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
![](MEAN/0250m/ccnt_SigmaT0250mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0250m/ccnt_V0250mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0250m/ccnt_T0250mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0250m/ccnt_S0250mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
|
500m |
Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
![](MEAN/0500m/ccnt_SigmaT0500mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0500m/ccnt_V0500mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0500m/ccnt_T0500mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
![](MEAN/0500m/ccnt_S0500mFull_EnsMeanFct_001_small.gif) |
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To obtain the MSEAS ESSE ensemble files, contact the MSEAS group.
The file names can be interpreted as follows (all times are in UTC):
time of last
analysis field time of last
in simulation fields in file
yyyymmddHH yyyymmddHH
MIT_calypso_2022022800_2022022800_2022030600_01h.nc.gz
yyyymmddHH HH
time of first frequency with which
fields in file fields are stored in file
|